Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe (New Brunswick) 189/338

 Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe (New Brunswick)

Today we're back in New Brunswick with Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe!

Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe has existed as a riding since 1968, created from Westmorland. The population of the riding was 101,237 in 2021. The riding contains the city of Moncton (79,470 in 2021), as well as part of Dieppe (28,114 in 2021), and Riverview (20,584 in 2021). The riding was renamed from just Moncton in 1997, despite containing parts of Riverview and Dieppe previously.

Politically, this seat is a solid bet for the Liberals until the Conservatives do very well. Conservatives won in 1968 and 1972 when Robert Stanfield's PC's had command over Atlantic Canada. Their next wins were in 1984 and 2011, Conservative majority elections. Third parties have also had good elections here, the NDP getting within 3,400 votes in 2011 and the Greens placing third in 2019 with just under 18%. This seat is currently represented by minister of official languages, minister responsible for the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency, and Liberal MP Ginette Petitpas Taylor.

In the 2015 election, New Brunswick saw all 10 ridings go Liberal after just one was previously. There were some narrow wins that flipped back the next election (3.79% in Fundy Royal, 5.36% in New Brunswick Southwest, 9.59% in Tobique—Mactaquac). However, some incumbents lost hard, namely Bernard Valcourt received just 16.5% in Madawaska—Restigouche, placing third, and Robert Goguen received just 21.5% in this riding, although he had won with just 35.7% in 2011. In 2019, this seat was 4/10 in New Brunswick and 183/338 in Canada by margin.

The name is good, it names all three municipalities involved in the riding. The shape is okay, I'd rather they choose either Dieppe or Riverview so that only one is shared in another riding. As for individuality, interesting that a riding that is this urban AND Atlantic has been friendly to Conservatives in recent history.

See you soon in Montarville!

Mississauga—Streetsville (Ontario) 188/338

 Mississauga—Streetsville (Ontario)

Today we're at the end of our Mississauga journey, Mississauga—Streetsville!

Mississauga—Streetsville has existed as a riding since 2004, created from Brampton West—Mississauga and Mississauga—West. The population of the riding was 116,864 in 2021. The riding contains the neighbourhoods of Streetsville and Meadowvale West as well as parts of Meadowvale and East Credit.

Politically, this seat has been Liberal for all but five years since 2004, with some tight wins for the Liberals. In both 2008 and 2015, the Liberals won by less than 10%. The seat was represented by a Conservative for just over a year from 2007 to 2008 (with a gap in the middle when he was Independent), the Liberals took the seat back in 2008, until the Conservatives won it in the 2011 general election. This seat is currently represented by Liberal MP Rechie Valdez.

The last woman to represent this riding before Rechie Valdez was Bonnie Crombie. She was first elected in 2008 to the House of Commons, only serving for three years until she lost in 2011 to Brad Butt. She was elected in a municipal by-election to city council in 2011. In 2014, she received the endorsement of long time mayor Hazel McCallion to replace her as mayor, winning by large margins the past two elections. In 2019, this seat was 65/121 in Ontario and 161/338 in Canada by margin.

The name is great, Streetsville is pretty central within the riding. The shape is not my favourite, the Mississauga ridings almost entirely ignore the Credit River. As for individuality, interesting how Bonnie Crombie was only here for three years given her status now.

Tomorrow we'll be back in New Brunswick with Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe!

Mississauga—Malton (Ontario) 187/338

 Mississauga—Malton (Ontario)

Today we're in our penultimate Mississauga riding, Mississauga—Malton!

Mississauga—Malton has existed as a riding since the 2012 redistribution, created from Bramalea—Gore—Malton, Brampton South—Mississauga, and Mississauga—Streetsville. The population of the riding was 116,908 in 2021. The riding contains the neighbourhoods of Malton, Britannia, and part of East Credit.

Politically, this seat was the most Liberal in Mississauga from 2015-2019, however it fell behind Mississauga Centre in 2021. Now, that could've been for a couple factors. Incumbent MP and cabinet minister Navdeep Bains didn't run again, allowing voters who liked him personally to switch to the Conservatives or NDP (both experienced an increase in vote share in 2021). This seat is currently represented by Liberal MP Iqwinder Gaheer. 

Navdeep Bains was an MP in Mississauga for almost thirteen years (non-consecutively). In his first term he was parliamentary secretary to Prime Minister Paul Martin. After his return to Ottawa in 2015, he was appointed minister of innovation, science, and technology, leading the front on the 2016 census and COVID-19 vaccines, as well announcing Canada's Digital Charter in 2019. In 2019, this seat was 107/121 in Ontario and 261/338 in Canada by margin.

The name is great, it contains the bulk of Mississauga as well as the somewhat distant community of Malton. The shape is fine, not a huge fan of the western border. As for individuality, interesting how the riding has been the best for the Liberals and NDP in recent years.

Tomorrow we're in our final Mississauga riding, Mississauga—Streetsville!

Mississauga—Lakeshore (Ontario) 186/338

 Mississauga—Lakeshore (Ontario)

Today we're along Lake Ontario with Mississauga—Lakeshore!

Mississauga—Lakeshore has existed as a riding since 1976, renamed from Mississauga South in 2012. The population of the riding was 117,095 in 2021. The riding contains the neighbourhoods of Clarkson, Lorne Park, and Lakeview. There is a big income disparity in this riding, with Lorne Park having an average annual income of $318,000, while Clearview has an average annual income of $85,000. 

Politically, this seat has been the strongest Conservative seat in Mississauga since 2015, although support has slipped in subsequent elections for the Tories. Back to the household income, the Conservatives perform their best in Lorne Park and around the center of the riding where income is higher, while the Liberals perform well on the edges of the riding where the suburbs are lower income. This seat is currently represented by Liberal MP Sven Spengemann.

This riding has a history of having the same MP for many terms. PC Don Blenkarn represented Peel South and later Mississauga South for five terms, amounting to sixteen years. Liberal Paul Szabo represented Mississauga South from 1993 to 2011, amounting to eighteen years. Conservative Stella Ambler was the anomaly, only being the MP for the area from 2011 to 2015. In 2019, this seat was 39/121 in Ontario and 108/338 in Canada by margin.

The name is great, it is the only lakeshore riding in Mississauga (and Peel region for that matter). The shape is also pretty good, it uses three natural municipal borders (lake, border with Oakville and border with Toronto). As for individuality, interesting how the riding has been represented by a Liberal for all but four years since 1993, and Sven Spengemann is the first pro-choice MP on record.

Tomorrow we'll be in our penultimate Mississauga riding with Mississauga—Malton!

Mississauga—Erin Mills (Ontario) 185/338

 Mississauga—Erin Mills (Ontario)

Today we're in western Mississauga with Mississauga—Erin Mills!

Mississauga—Erin Mills has existed as a riding since the 2012 redistribution, created from Mississauga—Erindale and Halton. The population of the riding was 123,371 in 2021. The riding contains the neighbourhood of Erin Mills, developed by the Cadillac Fairview Corporation around the Erin Mills Town Centre, starting in the 1970's. 

Politically, this seat was the first seat in Mississauga to flip to the Conservatives during the Harper Era, by just 397 votes in 2008, the writing on the wall for the coming sweep of 2011. Nowadays, it is pretty average as far as Mississauga ridings go: Liberals getting a bare majority, Conservatives in low to mid-30's, NDP in low 10's. This seat is currently represented by Liberal MP Iqra Khalid.

From 2015-2021, Iqra Khalid was the only woman to represent a riding in Mississauga federally. First elected in 2015, Khalid has been a strong advocate for human rights in the House of Commons. For her work, she was named one of Chatelaine's Women of the Year in 2017. In 2019, this seat was 82/121 in Ontario and 200/338 in Canada by margin.

The name is great, almost the entire riding contains Erin Mills. The shape is also pretty good, good natural borders. As for individuality, not that individual as far as ridings go.

Tomorrow we'll be back in Mississauga with Mississauga—Lakeshore!

Mississauga East—Cooksville (Ontario) 184/338

 Mississauga East—Cooksville (Ontario) 

Today we're in eastern Mississauga with Mississauga East—Cooksville!

Mississauga East—Cooksville has existed as the 2003 redistribution, created from Mississauga Centre and Mississauga East. The population of the riding was 116,346 in 2021. The riding is in the city of Mississauga and contains the neighbourhoods of Cooksville, Rockwood Village, and Dixie. 

Politically, this seat was the tightest loss for the Liberals in 2011, making it an easy pickup for them in 2015. From 2011-2019, the Liberal and Conservative candidates were the same, Wladyslaw Lizon for the Tories and Peter Fonesca for the Liberals. Lizon won by just 676 in 2011, only to lose by around 10,000 votes in 2015 and 2019. This seat is currently represented by Liberal MP Peter Fonesca.

Provincially, this riding is one to watch in this upcoming provincial election. The Liberals held on to much of their support in 2018, only losing the riding by 11 points. The Liberals are running former MPP Dipika Damerla, who last won with 52% of the vote, while the PC's are running incumbent Kaleed Rasheed, Ontario's first associate minister of digital government. In 2019, this seat was 76/121 in Ontario and 186/338 in Canada by margin.

The name is great, Cooksville is an appendage and isn't particularly eastern, so naming it specifically makes sense. The shape is good as well, it follows major streets as well as Etobicoke Creek. As for individuality, provincially it's interesting, federally, not so much.

Tomorrow we're further west in Mississauga—Erin Mills!

Mississauga Centre (Ontario) 183/338

 Mississauga Centre (Ontario)

Today we're starting our Mississauga adventure in Mississauga Centre!

Mississauga Centre existed as a riding from 1997-2004 and was recreated in 2012. The population of the riding was 127,377 in 2021. The riding is in the city of Mississauga and contains the neighbourhoods of East Credit, Creditview, and Erindale. The riding was dissolved into and created from four of the five Mississauga ridings from 2004-2012.

Politically, this riding was the most Liberal in Mississauga in 2021, as well as the least Conservative. This is notable because just 14 years ago, part of this seat narrowly flipped to the Conservatives in 2008, an omen of their future sweep in 2011. This seat is currently held by Minister of Transport and Liberal MP Omar Alghabra.

Omar Alghabra was first elected in 2006, serving for just two years until losing his seat in 2008 to Conservative MP Bob Dechert, getting back in the House of Commons in 2015. He served as a parliamentary secretary in foreign affairs, international trade diversification, intergovernmental affairs, as well as directly serving the prime minister and deputy prime minister. In 2019, this seat was 98/121 in Ontario and 237/338 in Canada.

The name is great, it's in Mississauga and it's pretty central if you ask me. The shape is not my favourite, I wish the Hurontario portion was a bit cleaner, which could be fixed by nixing the southwest portion in Erindale. As for individuality, the big left turn, I'm sure having a high profile minister doesn't hurt.

Tomorrow we'll be east in Mississauga East—Cooksville!