Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe (New Brunswick) 189/338

 Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe (New Brunswick)

Today we're back in New Brunswick with Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe!

Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe has existed as a riding since 1968, created from Westmorland. The population of the riding was 101,237 in 2021. The riding contains the city of Moncton (79,470 in 2021), as well as part of Dieppe (28,114 in 2021), and Riverview (20,584 in 2021). The riding was renamed from just Moncton in 1997, despite containing parts of Riverview and Dieppe previously.

Politically, this seat is a solid bet for the Liberals until the Conservatives do very well. Conservatives won in 1968 and 1972 when Robert Stanfield's PC's had command over Atlantic Canada. Their next wins were in 1984 and 2011, Conservative majority elections. Third parties have also had good elections here, the NDP getting within 3,400 votes in 2011 and the Greens placing third in 2019 with just under 18%. This seat is currently represented by minister of official languages, minister responsible for the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency, and Liberal MP Ginette Petitpas Taylor.

In the 2015 election, New Brunswick saw all 10 ridings go Liberal after just one was previously. There were some narrow wins that flipped back the next election (3.79% in Fundy Royal, 5.36% in New Brunswick Southwest, 9.59% in Tobique—Mactaquac). However, some incumbents lost hard, namely Bernard Valcourt received just 16.5% in Madawaska—Restigouche, placing third, and Robert Goguen received just 21.5% in this riding, although he had won with just 35.7% in 2011. In 2019, this seat was 4/10 in New Brunswick and 183/338 in Canada by margin.

The name is good, it names all three municipalities involved in the riding. The shape is okay, I'd rather they choose either Dieppe or Riverview so that only one is shared in another riding. As for individuality, interesting that a riding that is this urban AND Atlantic has been friendly to Conservatives in recent history.

See you soon in Montarville!