Friday, November 19, 2021

Fleetwood—Port Kells (British Columbia) 108/338

 Fleetwood—Port Kells (British Columbia) 


Today we're in Surrey with Fleetwood—Port Kells!


Fleetwood—Port Kells has existed as a riding since 2004, created from Surrey Central and Surrey North. The population was 116,958 in 2016. The riding contains the neighbourhoods of Fleetwood, Fraser Heights, and Port Kells. The riding is 30% South Asian, just 265 people short of being the largest ethnic group in the riding.

Politically, this seat was Conservative territory from 1993-2015, when the Liberals surged in the Lower Mainland and won the riding in 2015. This seat had one of the bigger swings in 2015, tied with Delta for second place at a 31% swing, only behind Cloverdale—Langley City at a 34% swing towards the Liberals. The seat is currently held by Liberal MP Ken Hardie.

With Surrey being home to a large South Asian population, it is worth noting the success the Liberal Party has had in South Asian ridings the past three elections. The three largest South Asian communities in the country are Brampton (44.3%), Surrey (32.8%), and Abbotsford (25.5%). In the past three elections, the Liberals have held all but two seats in these communities, and the seats that they do hold are with pretty big margins, winning all but one Brampton seat with over 50% support. In 2019, this seat was 7/42 in BC and 38/338 in Canada by margin.

Rating:
Name: 7.9/10 - Generally a good name, but Port Kells is such a small part of the riding, I'd rather involve Guildford somehow.
Shape: 8.6/10 - It's important to keep Fleetwood together, idk how to make it better, but it still is a little gross to me.
Individuality: 6.7/10 - Interesting how big of a shift there was, but it is pretty par for the course as far as Surrey goes.
Total: 23.2/30 (77.3%)

See you soon with Foothills!


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