Sunday, October 24, 2021

Dufferin—Caledon (Ontario) 88/338

 Dufferin—Caledon (Ontario)


Today we're in rural Ontario with Dufferin—Caledon!


Dufferin—Caledon has existed as a riding since 2004, created from Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey. The population of the riding was 128,237 in 2016. The population centers are Orangeville (28,900 in 2016), Bolton (26,378 in 2016), and Shelburne (8,126 in 2016). The riding grew 10% from 2011-2016, with the town of Shelburne growing almost 40%.

Politically, this seat has been safely Conservative since 2006, only really being close for the 2004 and 2015 elections. The Liberals held this riding from 1993-2004, due to the split between the Reform Party/Canadian Alliance and the Progressive Conservatives. The Liberals were only 1700 votes off from winning in 2004, largely because of their weakness in the northern, more rural part of the riding offset by their strength in Caledon. This seat is currently represented by Conservative MP Kyle Seeback.

Kyle Seeback has run in the past five elections, winning three times. He originally ran in Brampton West in 2008, losing by 231 votes after a judicial recount. He easily picked up the riding in 2011, but lost it by 17 points in 2015. He ran in Dufferin—Caledon after longtime MP and former MPP David Tilson retired. In 2019, this seat was 30/121 in Ontario and 88/338 in Canada by margin.

Rating:
Name: 9.4/10 - I really enjoy the Ontario ridings that are named after their respective counties, maybe Dufferin—Peel or maybe if the towns grow they could be in the name?
Shape: 8.7/10 - Again, it's good! Not a fan of the weird bump on the Brampton border and some county boundaries are weird.
Individuality: 3.8/10 - Typical rural Ontario riding. The growth is cool though!
Total: 21.9/30 (73%)

Tomorrow we're in a riding with a certain Conservative leader, Durham!


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