Saturday, October 16, 2021

Davenport (Ontario) 80/338

 Davenport (Ontario)


Today we're in Toronto with Davenport!


Davenport has existed as a riding since 1935. The population was 108,473 in 2016. The riding contains the neighbourhoods of Junction Triangle, Dovercourt Park, and Davenport. The riding is in the city of Toronto (2,731,571 in 2016, shared with 24 other ridings). The riding is one of the most Portuguese riding in the country, at 22.7%.

Politically, this riding has been very tight in the past three elections. In fact, it has been the closest in Toronto in those three elections, going from a 1,441 vote difference in 2015 to a 76 vote difference in 2021. The interesting part of the riding being so NDP compared to the rest of the city is in 2011, the other ridings that were over 50% NDP were Toronto—Danforth and Trinity—Spadina, Jack Layton and Olivia Chow's ridings. This riding is currently represented by Liberal MP Julie Dzerowicz.

While this riding has only gone NDP once federally, it has been NDP provincially 27 of the past 45 years (using Dovercourt as the former riding). However, there really wasn't a federal NDP appetite until 2004 when they surged 20 points to get 34% of the vote. They declined in 2006 and 2008 until they surged another 20 points to win the riding in 2011. In 2019, this seat was 8/121 in Ontario and 26/338 in Canada by margin.

Rating:
Name: 8.6/10 - For a city so large, it's nice that the redistribution commissions have kept this name and neighbourhood intact.
Shape: 7.8/10 - Pretty good, I know you have to follow roads, but it just seems a little off on the edges, especially the east side.
Individuality: 9.2/10 - It's really interesting how NDP it has been provincially but didn't catch on federally until 2011.
Total: 25.6/30 (85.3%)

Tomorrow we're back in BC with Delta!




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