Tuesday, October 12, 2021

Dartmouth—Cole Harbour (Nova Scotia) 78/338

 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour (Nova Scotia)


Today we're in Nova Scotia with Dartmouth—Cole Harbour!


Dartmouth—Cole Harbour has existed as a riding since 2004. The population was 92,301 in 2016. The riding consists of the Dartmouth and Cole Harbour communities of Halifax (403,131 in 2016, shared with 3 other ridings. This riding is the second smallest in Atlantic Canada, second only to Charlottetown.

Politically, this seat has typically been a Liberal seat, however it isn't unheard of it for it to go to the NDP. Specifically, it was NDP from 1997-2004 and from 2011-2015. From 1997-2004, Alexa McDonough was the NDP leader, who held her seat in Halifax. From 2011-2015, this was the extra seat the NDP got after the Liberal collapse. This seat is currently held by Liberal MP Darren Fisher.

Provincially, this seat is split between the Liberals, NDP, and Progressive Conservatives. The smallest margin was 4.3% in Dartmouth East, which the Progressive Conservatives won. It was this type of seat where the Progressive Conservatives won their majority. 6 seats that the PC's won were by less than 5 points, seats that, if flipped to the second place Liberals, would provide a 25-23-6-1 PC minority. In 2019, this seat was 9/11 in Nova Scotia and 169/338 in Canada by margin.

Rating:
Name: 9.7/10 - Basically perfect. Dartmouth is most of the riding, but I understand why they added in the Cole Harbour there.
Shape: 7.1/10 - Municipal boundaries are mostly followed, although I'm not a huge fan of the little part at the top, and the municipal boundaries are pretty gross, so they could've been smoothed out.
Individuality: 6.5/10 - Pretty typical urban seat: held by Liberals except for 2011 and maybe once more before that. 
Total: 23.3/30 (77.7%)

Tomorrow, we're back in Manitoba with Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa!

No comments:

Post a Comment

Northumberland–Peterborough South (Ontario) 208/338

Northumberland–Peterborough South (Ontario) Today we're back in Ontario with Northumberland–Peterborough South! Northumberland–Peterboro...