Thursday, July 15, 2021

Brandon-Souris (Manitoba) 36/338

 Brandon-Souris (Manitoba)

Today we’re in Manitoba with Brandon-Souris!


Brandon-Souris has existed as a riding since 1953. While there are small communities scattered around the riding, the main population centre is Brandon (48,859 in 2016). This riding is also our first non-contiguous riding, with Brandon Municipal Airport being part of this riding while being surrounded by Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawk.

Politically, this riding has been safe for the Conservative party except for two very specific scenarios. The first scenario it voted Liberal was in 1993. The seat was reliably PC, and when the PC fell off, the vote was split between the PC and the Reform Party, leading the Liberals to win with almost 1000 votes. The seat is currently held by Conservative MP Larry MacGuire.

MacGuire was first elected in a by-election in 2013, prompted by the resignation of Merv Tweed, who left to work in the private sector. The by-election in 2013 was very competitive, the Liberals finishing 389 votes behind the Conservatives. This could be attributed to low turnout in by-elections, but also that Rolf Dinsdale was the grandson of longtime Conservative MP Walter Dinsdale. This riding was 11/14 in Manitoba and 304/338 in Canada by margin.

Rating:
Name: 8.9/10
Shape: 4.5/10
Individuality: 7.5/10
Total: 20.9/30 (69.7%)

See you tomorrow in Brantford-Brant!


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