Barrie-Innisfil (Ontario) 14/338

Barrie-Innisfil (Ontario)

Today we're back in Ontario with Barrie-Innisfil!

Barrie-Innisfil as a riding has existed since (say it with me now) the 2012 redistribution, created from Barrie and York-Simcoe. The riding contains the southern portion of Barrie (141,434 in 2016) and the town of Innisfil (36,566 in 2016). The city of Barrie is actually more bilingual than most of the province (2.4 average vs. 6.8 in Barrie).

Politically, the riding is fairly Conservative. The biggest issue for the Liberals is that Barrie is split into two ridings. In 2019, the win still would've gone to the Conservatives, but it would likely be a flip for the Liberals in 2015. The rest of the riding is Conservative territory, mostly due to the rural nature of Innisfil. The riding is currently represented by Conservative MP John Brassard.

The riding has slowly been making it's way to the left over the past few elections. The 2011 redistributed results gave the Conservatives 61% of the vote, 46% of the vote in 2015, and then 43% of the vote in 2019. The main reason that the riding is still Conservative is because of vote-splitting. Whether you want to argue if Liberals are left or center, you have to notice that the combined NDP and Liberal vote would over take the Conservatives in this riding. The riding was 54/121 in Ontario and 135/338 in Canada in terms of margin in 2019.

Rating:

Name: 8.2/10 - I actually don't mind it, there are only two municipalities in here so why not name them both? Maybe Barrie South? (Or just give Barrie it's own riding back).

Shape: 8.5/10 - The shape is also fairly good. The west side is a little gross, but there is a minimal amount of corners (which is a plus).

Individuality: 5.2/10 - Fairly common for urban centers in an otherwise rural area. The bilingualism in Barrie is interesting.

Total: 21.9/30 (73%)

We're going riding north tomorrow with Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte!