Sunday, June 20, 2021

Avalon (Newfoundland and Labrador) 11/338

 Avalon (Newfoundland and Labrador)

Today we're in the easternmost province, Newfoundland and Labrador!




 Avalon as a riding has existed since the 2003 redistribution, gaining territory from the neighbouring Bonavista-Trinity-Conception, St. John's East, and St. John's West. The population centers are Conception Bay South (26,199 as of 2016), Paradise (21,389 as of 2016, shared with St. John's East), and Bay Roberts (11,083 as of 2016). Simply put, the riding contains a good majority of the Avalon Peninsula, except for St. John's and the Northwest portion going to Bonavista-Burin-Trinity.

Politically, the riding has historically been a close race between the Liberals and Conservatives, despite the Conservatives only winning the seat once in 2006. The rural portions are Liberal, but the more urban areas (as urban as you can get in Newfoundland) are a tight race between the Liberals and Conservatives. The riding was represented by Liberal turned Independent Scott Andrews from 2008-2015 who ran as an independent and gained 17.82% of the vote. The riding is currently represented by Liberal MP Ken McDonald.

In 2015, in areas the Conservatives have historically dominated, they didn't have the same traction, only winning two polls in the south. This could be attributed to the prominent independent. However, the Conservatives gained the ground back but still finished 15 points behind the Liberals. The "2019 Atlantic Green Wave" can also be seen in small parts here where the seat swung 5 points towards the Greens and them winning one poll in the North. The riding was 5/7 in 2019 in NL and 141/338 in Canada in terms of margin.

Rating:
Name: 8.4/10 - I wish there was a way to say Avalon except St. John's, but I like names named after geography, so no complaining here.
Shape: 6.7/10 - South and West Coast, I love you so much. Everything else, I don't understand what you're doing.
Individuality: 6.6/10 - I find the fact the most Conservative presence is on the "urban" coast pretty interesting, and I also like condensed regions in otherwise rural ridings. (ie. Conception Bay)
Total: 21.7/30 - (72.3%) 

See you tomorrow back in Quebec (I swear we have some time off from Quebec after this) with Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia!

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